Good morning! Trump surprised some as he filed a lawsuit against BBC - remember how we flagged the market a couple of weeks ago?

Outside of Trump's legal battles, today we take a look at Ukraine funding issue and the Fed chair nomination show - Trump must miss The Apprentice.

In tech we spectate the battle for the best coding LLM and in culture, it seems that it's Liam vs Noah in top name for boys in 2025.

Stay ahead of the game with out forward-looking morning brief!

Top Movers

#1 Don't Doubt Trump

https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-sue-the-bbc/will-trump-sue-the-bbc

This is the newest reminder that not all 90c+ markets are bonds.

Traders made and lost thousands as Trump announced he has officially sued BBC. We flagged this market several times in our briefs, last time to show that amid the wider turmoil Trump might delay the lawsuit. And here we are a few weeks later.

Despite the claims about accuracy, prediction markets still offer plenty of opportunities for a 10x.

#2 So War It Is?

https://polymarket.com/event/eu-agrees-use-of-russian-assets-to-fund-ukraine-by/eu-agrees-use-of-russian-assets-to-fund-ukraine-by-december-31

Traders are increasingly bullish on the EU agreeing to use Russian frozen assets to fund Ukraine.

After a minor win, in which the EU agreed to freeze the Russian assets indefinitely, now the main issue lies ahead. During the European Council meeting on December 18-19, the European countries plan to agree on how to use Russian frozen assets to fund Ukraine. Ideas are a dime a dozen, but there is a strong opposition to any use of the assets, coming mainly from Belgium, the main custodian, and Italy.

However some traders see a path, especially a certain whale who had a big loss recently.

#3 Everything Is A Show

https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-as-fed-chair/will-trump-nominate-kevin-hassett-as-the-next-fed-chair

After being almost certain to be the next Fed chai, Kevin Hassett is now trailing Kevin Warsh.

Traders are once again split after Trump said he interviewed Warsh. Then Jamie Dimon spoke favorably of him and we got a rumor that some people close to Trump advised against picking Hassett.

But ultimately Trump has got what he loves - it's a show now!

#4 The Best LLM

https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-will-have-the-best-ai-model-for-coding-at-the-end-of-2025/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-model-for-coding-at-the-end-of-2025

We are encountering a hilarious situation on the best AI model for coding market.

After the "code red" release of ChatGPT 5.2 flopped and failed to beat both Anthropic and Google, OpenAI scrapped its results from benchmarks. It put 5.1 codex max back in, which is marginally better than the current version of Anthropic LMM, prompting traders to adjust the odds.

But nothing is set in stone yet, there are unconfirmed rumors Anthropic might release a new model by the end of the year.

#5 Liam vs Noah

https://polymarket.com/event/most-popular-boy-name-2025/will-liam-rank-1-among-boy-names-on-the-ssas-official-list-for-2025

In a surprising twist, the odds for Noah being the most popular boy name in 2025 in the US jumped sharply.

Liam and Noah took the top 2 spots in the last year's leaderboard. Since the beginning of the market traders expected a repeat of the top, but now it seems that at least some believe the situation isn't so sure. Unless we are getting some insider action again?

Wrap up

That’s all for today - did you catch any of the moves? See you tomorrow for another Morning Brief!

This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. This are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.