Good morning! As you are busy spending your holidays, the world is moving ahead. Thankfully, we are here to cover the top stories of the day.

And we have it all - from Trump meeting Zelensky, through Ukraine and Sudanese wars, to a problematic 60 minutes episode and a battle for the top Christmas song.

Oh and by the way, Trump also bombed Nigeria, but there were no markets to see. This year the US gives quite some gifts...

Top Movers

#1 Trump Admin Insiders On Polymarket

Turns out some people close to Trump must trade on Polymarket as the odds here jumped hours before Axios broke the story.

There is not much to the story, but we can expect that the attempts to sign a peace deal will not stop very soon. And maybe we will have an interesting presser to watch before the end of the year.

#2 Russians March Forward During Christmas

Just a day after we reported on a possible capture of Huliaipole, the odds jumped to 75/25.

It seems that everyone is now just waiting for ISW to update the map that is used as a resolution source. And since they are known to severely lag the developments on the ground, there is a fierce discussion whether this time will be different.

If we don't see it updated in the next report, expect a lot of volatility.

#3 Sudanese Civil War Update

Just a day after this market went live we can present you with a small update.

Traders assess it is unlikely we see RSF capturing Kadugli by the end of January. Despite the UN evacuating and the city being under siege by RSF, traders see a prolonged fight for Kadugli.

#4 El Salvador Stands Strong

After a bit of drama online, traders think it's unlikely we will see the CECOT story on 60 minutes.

A segment of the story was erroneously released online and for a brief moment was accessible to the wider public. It showed migrants transferred from the US that described supposed horrific experiences. Now some are questioning if Bari Weiss, the CBS editor in chief, is shielding Trump from negative press.

#5 Christmas Classics Fight

Two classics are head to head in this week's Spotify top songs.

Traders are joking about looping their favorite in the background as both songs trade around 50c, despite both having a large lead before. Every single stream matters and this time traders are taking it very seriously ;)

Ultimately, these are also way more fun to watch and participate vs insider markets. While informative, inside information makes the markets an unrewarding experience.

Wrap up

That’s all for today - did you catch any of the moves? See you on Monday for another Morning Brief!

This is not official investment or life advice. Do your own research. This are only my opinions and I encourage anyone to do their own research before putting any money anywhere.