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Latest

Future of OpenAI & Forecasting Best AI Models

OpenAI For-Profit Odds Surge as AI Leadership Race Heats Up
Doug Crescenzi 15 May 2025

Assessing China’s Geopolitical Risk

A high China Risk Index has the potential to disrupt $2.5 trillion in annual trade
Doug Crescenzi 13 May 2025

Likelihood of US-Iran Nuclear Deal?

US-Iran Nuclear Deal Likelihood Index hits 73.9%
Doug Crescenzi 08 May 2025

Israel Military & Geopolitical Risk Index

A dynamic look into the nation's evolving risk landscape
Doug Crescenzi 06 May 2025

India on Brink of Military Conflict?

Our India Conflict Risk Index synthesizes market signals
Doug Crescenzi 01 May 2025

Is Recession Coming to the U.S.?

Significant market moves in the last 24 hours provide insight
Doug Crescenzi 29 Apr 2025

Russia’s Kyiv Blitz Torpedoes Ceasefire Odds

Will the U.S. walk away from the process?
Doug Crescenzi 24 Apr 2025

Bitcoin's Resilience Amid Macro Turmoil

Is Bitcoin decoupling?
Doug Crescenzi 22 Apr 2025

Tariffs, Tweets, and Tensions: Powell Holds Firm as Trump Fires up

Jay Powell pushed out? Markets think unlikely.
Doug Crescenzi 17 Apr 2025

Likelihood of conflict with Iran decreasing?

Prediction market money thinks so.
Doug Crescenzi 15 Apr 2025

Launching Adjacent News

Forward Looking News Driven by Prediction Markets and Forecasting Platforms
Lucas Kohorst 17 Oct 2024

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Forward Looking News Driven by Prediction Markets and Forecasting Platforms
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