Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15? - Probability +3% change to 69.5%
NY-19 election: Riley (D) vs. Molinaro (R) - Probability +6.43% change to 56.49%
NY-04 election: Gillen (D) vs. D'Esposito (R) - Probability +2% change to 77.5%
