Global Outlook: Trust Your Guts

Weekly PROPHET NOTES 6/2/25

What's Next in the Russo-Ukrainian War? Part II

Operation Spider's Web: Escalation Signals in the Russo-Ukrainian War

What's Next in the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Escalation or Ceasefire? Insights from May 2025 Markets

Forecasting U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields

Navigating Economic Signals for the Year Ahead

opinion

Global Outlook: Can You Stop A Crazy Man?

Weekly PROPHET NOTES 5/26/25

Fiscal Forecast: US Taxation Index and Debt Markets in Focus

Is the US trending toward a more favorable tax environment?

New Globalization Index: Tracking Trade, Tech, and Tensions

From Trade Deals to TikTok, Decode Globalization with our New Globalization Index

Future of OpenAI & Forecasting Best AI Models

OpenAI For-Profit Odds Surge as AI Leadership Race Heats Up

Assessing China’s Geopolitical Risk

A high China Risk Index has the potential to disrupt $2.5 trillion in annual trade

Likelihood of US-Iran Nuclear Deal?

US-Iran Nuclear Deal Likelihood Index hits 73.9%

Israel Military & Geopolitical Risk Index

A dynamic look into the nation's evolving risk landscape

India on Brink of Military Conflict?

Our India Conflict Risk Index synthesizes market signals