Introducing the Israel-Iran Conflict Index
Israel-Iran at a Tipping Point
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Global Outlook: War
Weekly PROPHET NOTES 6/16/25
From Protests to Predictions: LA’s Breaking Point
Decoding LA’s Unrest and the Markets That Mirror It
Global Outlook: The Bromance Is Over
Weekly PROPHET NOTES 6/9/25
NYC Mayoral Race Heats Up
Tracking Cuomo vs. Mamdani and the Money Supply Signals for 2025
Reconciliation Bill Showdown Intensifies Amid Trump-Musk Feud
Fiscal Fight and AI Futures: Trump-Musk Clash, Anthropic’s Next Move
Prophet - What's Next?
Slow season? Never.
Global Outlook: Trust Your Guts
Weekly PROPHET NOTES 6/2/25
What's Next in the Russo-Ukrainian War? Part II
Operation Spider's Web: Escalation Signals in the Russo-Ukrainian War
What's Next in the Russo-Ukrainian War?
Escalation or Ceasefire? Insights from May 2025 Markets
Forecasting U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields
Navigating Economic Signals for the Year Ahead
Global Outlook: Can You Stop A Crazy Man?
Weekly PROPHET NOTES 5/26/25
Fiscal Forecast: US Taxation Index and Debt Markets in Focus
Is the US trending toward a more favorable tax environment?
New Globalization Index: Tracking Trade, Tech, and Tensions
From Trade Deals to TikTok, Decode Globalization with our New Globalization Index
Future of OpenAI & Forecasting Best AI Models
OpenAI For-Profit Odds Surge as AI Leadership Race Heats Up
Assessing China’s Geopolitical Risk
A high China Risk Index has the potential to disrupt $2.5 trillion in annual trade
Likelihood of US-Iran Nuclear Deal?
US-Iran Nuclear Deal Likelihood Index hits 73.9%
Israel Military & Geopolitical Risk Index
A dynamic look into the nation's evolving risk landscape
India on Brink of Military Conflict?
Our India Conflict Risk Index synthesizes market signals
Is Recession Coming to the U.S.?
Significant market moves in the last 24 hours provide insight
Russia’s Kyiv Blitz Torpedoes Ceasefire Odds
Will the U.S. walk away from the process?
Bitcoin's Resilience Amid Macro Turmoil
Is Bitcoin decoupling?
Tariffs, Tweets, and Tensions: Powell Holds Firm as Trump Fires up
Jay Powell pushed out? Markets think unlikely.
Likelihood of conflict with Iran decreasing?
Prediction market money thinks so.